Title : What we learned from the main season bruises
link : What we learned from the main season bruises
What we learned from the main season bruises
Donald Trump broke all the rules in politics and blew out the competition.
Savage 2016 primary season broke expectations. Populism soared, the establishment was beaten and outsiders wowed audiences.
1. Clinton makes history
For the first time, a major US political party He has elected a woman as its presumptive nominee.
Clinton reached this milestone during his second presidential bid, eight years after the day she conceded defeat Barack Obama and thanked his supporters for helping her to "18 million cracks" in the "highest , glass roof harder. "
historical importance of his primary victory is celebrated during a speech Tuesday night - night that would win four primary including California - at the Brooklyn Navy Yard. "The win tonight is not about one person. It belongs to generations of women and men who fought and sacrificed and made possible the moment," he said.And she immediately took the Trump. She hit hard Republican candidate for his recent attacks on a judge of Mexican descent, along with a reporter mocking disabled and calling "female pigs."
"He wants to win by stoking fear and rub salt in the wounds and reminds us daily how big it is," Clinton said.
self-created image of Clinton as a "fighter" struck a chord. dominated by older women, African Americans and LGBT voters, all of whom have overcome their own challenges - a coalition that valued its resilience met. They form the basis for the general election.
But Clinton has a lot of vulnerabilities as well. Throughout her grueling primary season, Clinton was dogged by controversy -. Benghazi with the investigation of the House and the appearance of the FBI in their private email server, make sure it follow the fall campaign
2. The Trump year
Taking the power populist GOP is completed.
In recent election cycles, the dominant theme of the right has been purity. Deviations from conservative orthodoxy on taxes, spending, bailouts, debt ceiling, or anything else Obamacare met with severe punishment.
Trump threw everything out the window. It has broken with the party on trade, tax, entitlement reform, raising the minimum wage, and more. And it has only benefited from it - which shows that Republican voters faith in the strength of his personality and his ability as a negotiator leads other candidates fidelity in politics.
Republicans ignored Trump, then laughed at him, and then fought it - and won.
Now, Trump is trying to make the pivot for the general election - but he hit a rocky patch immediately when he accused a judge of bias due to his Mexican ancestry, prompting outrage, condemnation and accusations racism of his own party.
Trump tried to calm the nerves of Republicans on Tuesday night, as the backlash against his attack on the Mexican heritage of a judge reached a peak. "I understand the responsibility of carrying this mantle," said as he read from a teleprompter, "and never let you down," he said.
3. rules negativity
The Republican primary was defined by insults - the sharpest and most devastating tossed by Trump. He read the phone number of Senator Lindsey Graham of South on national television live Carolina. Then eviscerated "low energy", Jeb Bush, "Little Marco" Rubio and "Lyin 'Ted" Cruz, and each of these nicknames stuck.
Now, we are seeing the same thing in the general election match-up. Trump is Bashing "Crooked Hillary" and invoking extramarital affairs Bill Clinton.
But Clinton is determined to fight more effectively than the primary opponents of Trump.
Clinton is calling Trump a "fraud" and said he is unable to lead the country. "He wants to win by stoking fear and rub salt in the wounds and reminds us daily how big it is," he said Tuesday night.
Political scientists call "negative partisanship" - the idea that voters are not for their own party as much as they are against the other party. Buckle, people, because that is what 2016 is all about
4. Ay is the establishment
Scott Walker had the resume. Jeb Bush had money and political pedigree. Marco Rubio had the talent. And none of them came anywhere near - which shows how angry Republican voters have become the property of his party.
The efforts of the president of the Republican National Committee Reince Priebus to lead the Republicans through an orderly primary station, without the positions that cost them the support of Latinos and young voters in 2012 were ignored or flouted. the influence of donors decreased while the main GOP candidate Trump, who dominated the coverage of the media, financed his own primary campaign.
conservative talk radio, activists and news media upstarts populist right are on the rise. The influence of party officials, think tanks, conservative magazines and figures Capitol Hill is declining.
On the Democratic side, Sanders lit a movement and overturned expectations - mobilize millions of voters who are liberal, but do not line up with the party, in many cases are registered as independents. Even without the nomination, which has given the progressive position stronger bargaining he went to the Democratic convention in Philadelphia, and forced Clinton and other Democrats to deal with the demands of young and independent.
5. The revolution Sanders
When Sanders entered the race in 2016, which was an afterthought - a democratic socialist describes himself, little known outside of Vermont and away from Capitol Hill. Their apparent goal was to raise liberal causes, just in case Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren decided not to run.
Then came the crowds. When 10,000 people showed up in Wisconsin to see it in July 2015, the national media - and the Brooklyn headquarters of Clinton - were forced to pay attention. Sanders fans never minded that often spoke for more than an hour, or he left the stage without shaking hands.
His indifference about how a candidate is supposed to act only made his followers more like him.
legacy of Sanders will be the massive support that attracted young voters - with those ages 18 to 29 as preferred over Clinton by a margin of four to one or better in many states - and its enormous support independents. And he pushed Clinton left on trade, the Keystone XL pipeline and the minimum wage.
Clinton began work on consolidation of Democratic voters on Tuesday, offering an olive branch to Sanders and his supporters.
"has spent his long career in public service to combat the causes and progressive principles and he is excited million voters, especially young people," Clinton said. "And make no mistake: Senator Sanders, his campaign and the intense debate we have had ... have been very good for the Democratic Party and the United States."
6. "emails" Damn
The most important moment in the Democratic race might have come in the first debate, when Sanders sacrificed - for good - its ability to attack so much weaker Clinton: using a private email server during her tenure as secretary of state.
When Sanders returned to Clinton and told him that the American people are "sick and tired of hearing about your emails cursed," that has great applause from the audience and short-term momentum by the electorate democrat, who was, in fact, sick and tired of hearing about Clinton emails.
The decision in many ways defines the primary. Sanders was ready to attack Clinton on Wall Street, trade, energy and more, but never had the appetite to exploit its long history of personal disputes.
Republicans to exploit what Sanders not shown why the general election effort will be so dramatically different. Trump said late Tuesday that Clinton "the State Department turned its own fund private coverage."
7. "The system is rigged"
Trump she said. Sanders she said. Voters in both candidates drawn in the main process first believed.
they were right? Actually, no - the rules are well established before the voting began, and never change.
But suddenly seems much more difficult to defend the rules of delegate selection arcana that allowed, for example, Ted Cruz to win more delegates in Louisiana Trump, even though Trump had earned in the state, or confidence of Democrats in superdelegate privileged votes, or primaries and caucuses that were closed to independent, allowing party members be registered only with the example game.
Interest in procedural debates tends to diminish once those debates fade from the spotlight. But 2016 primaries could force both parties to deal with these issues in the coming years.
8. Large amounts of money does not necessarily buy happiness
Everyone, but Trump and Sanders had a super PAC. "Right to Rise" Jeb Bush was one that dwarfs all others. And they meant nothing.
television stations have a legal obligation to collect the candidates their lowest rates available, but because you are Super PAC prices soared, keeping those dollars stretch far away.
and the ability to master Trump news cycles showed that - against an unconventional politician whose force of personality sent free media attention - Super PACs forces are much weaker than previously thought.
Or at least that was the case in a primary season that does not follow the rules.
9. young tea party left
All those young Sanders carried out also highlighted a new development: The Democratic Party has its own base hardline emerging, and is quickly moving the party to the left.
This is not a new phenomenon. He was born in the 2004 presidential campaign and gained strength of Howard Dean when Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman was defeated in his primary Senate in 2006.
but women older accelerated dramatically in 2016, African Americans and LGBT voters stayed with Clinton, inspired by a recognized grain. But younger voters and activists Sanders saw someone who could not play the role of political establishment if he wished and hugged him.
What will be key to watch in the coming years if those maverick sensibilities shine through up and down the ballot, in the governor race and the Senate - and if those voters extract a toll of politicians who reject their new liberal policies.
10. conundrum minority of GOP
agoFour years, RNC Chairman Reince Priebus promotes an autopsy loss Mitt Romney 2012, which urged Republicans to make a greater effort to reach The latinos.
2016 Primary alignment ignored the advice in full, with other candidates vying to match the claim that Trump had to build a wall along the US-Mexico border.
one demographic problem has only gotten worse was highlighted :. Republicans can not win nationally without improving its shares among minority voters, and the positions adopted this year will not help them achieve that goal
The cost could be extended to the vote, to competitive races Senate Arizona, Nevada and Florida.
attack Trump Judge Gonzalo Curiel to worsen these concerns, prompting a condemnation of House Speaker Paul Ryan - who was on that ticket, 2012, and described the comments Trump
. "definition of textbook of a racist comment"11. angling 2020
Since they were defeated former Republican rivals Trump already positioning for 2020 - based on the expectation that he will lose.
has taken different forms. New Jersey Governor Chris Christie has completely moved Trump. Ted Cruz has dodged and dodged any question about it. Rubio is saying literally told everyone so. And Ohio Governor John Kasich is putting himself as the opposite temperament Trump.
This young and ambitious crop of Republicans - which also includes figures such as Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker - is aware that each is more likely to run for president.
These candidates, however, are operating largely in the dark. In the absence of five months in the most chaotic, unpredictable in recent memory primary season, anything could happen.
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